AGP Executive Report

Super Typhoon Bavi: The National Weather Service says Bavi has nearly maxed out on intensity scales and is most likely to make a direct hit on Rota, with Guam expected to see damaging winds even if the eye stays offshore. Forecasters warn of “very dangerous” conditions, including catastrophic wind damage near the center, life-threatening coastal flooding, and hazardous surf with waves up to 35 feet. Local Emergency Response: Guam moved into Condition of Readiness 1 at noon Sunday, with shelters opening and residents told to finish preparations and stay indoors. In the CNMI, Gov. David M. Apatang is set to declare Typhoon Condition I for Saipan, Tinian and Rota, as shelters open and officials urge people in vulnerable housing to relocate now. What residents should know: NWS meteorologists stress not to mistake any lull or sunshine for the storm’s end—eyewall passage can bring a rapid return of extreme winds. Community readiness: Reports describe house-to-house outreach on Rota, ongoing sheltering on Saipan and Tinian, and continuous public updates through local and NWS briefings.

Super Typhoon Bavi: Guam and the Northern Marianas are in full storm mode as Bavi nears with “very dangerous” Category 4/5-equivalent winds, life-threatening flooding and coastal inundation, and waves up to about 35 feet at sea; officials are moving islands through Typhoon Condition of Readiness steps (Guam COR 1 at noon; CNMI Typhoon Condition I for Saipan/Tinian/Rota) and urging residents to finish preparations, stay indoors, and use shelters. Coast & port impacts: The U.S. Coast Guard set Port Heavy Weather Condition for Guam and CNMI, closing ports to inbound traffic and suspending commercial operations as seas worsen. Rota in the crosshairs: Forecasts increasingly point to the storm passing near or just north of Rota Monday morning, with potentially catastrophic winds there and damaging conditions spreading across Guam, Tinian, and Saipan. Recovery pressure: The storm arrives only months after Sinlaku left many communities still rebuilding, raising fears of renewed damage to homes, power, and supplies.

Super Typhoon Bavi Emergency Prep: Guam and the Northern Marianas are bracing for Bavi as it tracks near Rota and threatens all islands with damaging winds, heavy rain, and dangerous seas. Typhoon warnings are in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian, and Saipan, with officials urging residents to finish preparations and shelter by Sunday. Guam is set to enter Condition of Readiness 2 at 10 p.m. Saturday, with shelters opening Sunday morning, while the U.S. Coast Guard has set Port Heavy Weather Condition Yankee to suspend inbound traffic and halt port operations. Disaster Declarations & Aid: President Trump approved emergency declarations for Guam and CNMI, unlocking FEMA emergency protective measures and federal support as the islands still recover from Super Typhoon Sinlaku. Storm Track Updates: Latest guidance keeps Rota closest to the projected center, but forecasters stress small track shifts could change where the worst winds hit. Climate Context: The UN weather agency confirms a strong El Niño is forming, which can fuel extreme weather patterns across the Pacific.

Typhoon Bavi Emergency: Super Typhoon Bavi is strengthening toward the Marianas after Sinlaku left many in the CNMI still without power and some in tents, with forecasts calling for Category 5–level winds near 160–175 mph and damaging conditions likely for Saipan, Tinian, Rota and surrounding waters. Local Preparedness: CNMI Gov. David Apatang urged residents to take Bavi “very seriously” and prepare immediately, while Guam and CNMI moved through readiness conditions and opened shelters on tight timelines. Federal Support: President Trump approved emergency declarations for Guam and the CNMI, unlocking FEMA protective measures and federal assistance as response teams were pre-positioned. Coast Guard Port Closures: The U.S. Coast Guard set Port Heavy Weather Condition YANKEE for Guam and CNMI, restricting inbound traffic and requiring large vessels to depart, with stricter PHWC ZULU expected at midnight. Marine Impacts: Hazardous seas and storm surge risks are rising fast, and officials say the preparation window is closing.

Typhoon Bavi Emergency Prep: Guam and the Northern Marianas are ramping up for a potentially catastrophic Typhoon Bavi after Super Typhoon Sinlaku left many still rebuilding, with officials moving islands into Condition of Readiness 3, ordering shelters to open, and urging residents to secure homes, stock supplies, and be ready to evacuate as forecasts warn of rapid intensification toward Category 4–5. Maritime Safety: The U.S. Coast Guard is coordinating “One Marianas” actions, moving boats and setting Port Heavy Weather Condition X-RAY for Guam and CNMI ports to reduce risk to vessels and cargo. Health & Services: TRICARE beneficiaries in Guam and CNMI can get temporary emergency prescription refills through July 12 as storm impacts approach. Local Funding for Response: Guam lawmakers passed Public Law 38-134, directing about $8 million left from Sinlaku relief toward Bavi preparation and recovery, including village mayors and storm-shelter school support. Regional Resilience: Pacific leaders also reiterated the need for stronger, region-owned resilience planning as climate and security pressures grow.

Typhoon Bavi Emergency Response (CNMI/Guam): Residents across Saipan, Tinian, and Rota are being told to stay glued to official forecasts as Tropical Storm Bavi rapidly intensifies toward possible super-typhoon strength, with seas expected to turn hazardous by Saturday afternoon and officials canceling the 80th Liberation Day parade. Shelter & Public Safety: CNMI is urging people in STRONG tents, damaged homes, low-lying areas, or unsafe structures to relocate early; shelters are listed for each island, and the CNMI Joint Information Center warns not to wait for watches or warnings as conditions can tighten fast. Readiness Funding & Recovery: Guam lawmakers approved about $8M left from Super Typhoon Sinlaku for Bavi preparation and response, while FEMA also approved nearly $14.7M in post-disaster funding that includes power restoration work in CNMI. Maritime Protection: The U.S. Coast Guard set Port Heavy Weather Condition X-RAY for Guam and CNMI ports, requiring commercial vessels and facilities to prepare or depart as hazardous weather approaches. Regional Environment & Governance: Pacific leaders meeting in Fiji pushed for a Pacific Resilience Facility to tackle climate damage and warned that global rules and aid shortfalls are straining small island states. Fisheries Monitoring: Cook Islands renewed an aerial surveillance partnership with the FFA to help curb illegal fishing in the region’s EEZ.

Super Typhoon Alert for CNMI: Tropical Storm Bavi (09W) is intensifying over warm Pacific waters east of Guam and could rapidly become a Category 4–5 super typhoon, with forecasts pointing to passage near the Marianas Sunday into Monday; officials say residents should prepare for tropical-storm-force winds at minimum as the track and timing still may shift. Shelter & Evacuation Guidance: CNMI emergency managers say shelters on Saipan, Tinian, and Rota open Friday, July 3 at 3 p.m., urging people in STRONG tents, damaged homes, low-lying areas, or unsafe structures to relocate early; a separate beach advisory warns residents to avoid swimming, fishing, and other water activities due to storm-driven runoff and possible coastal water quality degradation. Regional Climate & Resilience Pressure: An OECD report warns global aid to small island states is set to drop sharply, raising risks for health, climate resilience, and disaster response—exactly the kinds of services CNMI and the wider Pacific rely on during extreme weather. Blue Economy Focus: A new push in marine biotechnology highlights ocean-based solutions—from sustainable aquaculture to climate resilience—positioning the Pacific as an investment frontier while stressing ecosystem protection. Invasive Species Control: Volunteers on Guam joined a brown tree snake workshop and night hunt at Andersen Air Force Base, continuing efforts to curb the invasive threat to local wildlife.

Storm Watch for CNMI: Tropical Storm Bavi is shifting south and could rapidly intensify into a Category 5 system, with forecasters warning Marianas residents to expect tropical-storm-force conditions at minimum and damaging winds depending on the track. Beach Water Safety: CNMI’s Division of Environmental Quality issued a precautionary advisory for Saipan, Tinian, and Rota beaches, urging people to avoid swimming and fishing as heavy rain could drive polluted runoff and raise bacteria levels. Next System, Next Round: Tropical Depression 09W (expected to become Bavi) is forecast to pass late Sunday into Monday, with emergency managers across Guam and CNMI urging households and businesses to finalize 7–10 day kits, secure property, and clear drainage. Invasive Species Control: Volunteers on Guam joined a brown tree snake workshop and hunt at Andersen Air Force Base, helping remove invasive snakes that threaten local wildlife. Regional Climate & Ocean Governance: Pacific Islands Forum Troika leaders met in Suva to push regional governance reforms and climate action planning ahead of COP31, while Taiwan pledged $2 million to support climate resilience and ocean governance at the Forum Secretariat. Fisheries & Ocean Economy: New Zealand backed Pacific tuna fisheries with added support for monitoring, anti–illegal fishing work, and value-add opportunities—aimed at improving returns for coastal communities.

Storm Watch for CNMI: Invest 95W has been upgraded to Tropical Depression 09W and could pass the Marianas as early as Sunday or Monday, with forecasts ranging from depression-level impacts to a possible Category 3 typhoon—officials urge residents on Saipan, Tinian and Rota to prepare now for heavy rain and strong winds. Military Drills in the Region: During Valiant Shield 2026, a U.S. Air Force B-2 Spirit fired the AGM-158C LRASM anti-ship missile north of the Mariana Islands, and allied forces also sank the decommissioned USS Juneau in a live-fire exercise—more signs the Pacific remains a high-priority security zone. Deep-Sea Research Near Guam & CNMI: The Ocean Exploration Trust’s Nautilus is launching back-to-back expeditions to map unsurveyed deep waters around the Marianas, aiming to build habitat and biodiversity baselines and study marine critical minerals. Fisheries & Ocean Stewardship: New Zealand announced increased support for Pacific fisheries management through the Forum Fisheries Committee, focusing on sustainability, monitoring, and fighting illegal fishing. Local Recovery Funding: FEMA says more than $52 million in federal disaster assistance and loan offers has been committed to the Northern Mariana Islands after Super Typhoon Sinlaku as recovery shifts toward rebuilding.

Tropical Weather Watch: Invest 95W has formed into Tropical Depression 09W and is forecast to pass the Marianas Sunday into Monday, with forecasters warning it could strengthen to a Category 3 typhoon; the track may run from south of Guam to as far north as Pagan, so residents are urged to prepare now with food, water, and close follow-up on NWS and Homeland Security updates. CNMI Recovery Funding: After Super Typhoon Sinlaku, FEMA says more than $52 million in federal disaster assistance and loan offers have been committed to CNMI, with thousands of households approved as recovery shifts toward rebuilding the economy. Mariana Ocean Research: The Ocean Exploration Trust’s Nautilus is launching deep-sea expeditions to map unsurveyed waters east of the Mariana Trench, building baselines for habitat conservation and marine critical minerals around Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands. Blue Pacific Fisheries: New Zealand is boosting support for Pacific fisheries through the Forum Fisheries Committee process, aiming to strengthen monitoring, fight illegal fishing, and improve tuna value returns for island communities. Military Exercise Impacts: Exercise Valiant Shield 2026 wrapped up July 1 across the CNMI, Guam, Japan, and nearby seas, including live-fire sinking drills that sent the decommissioned USS Juneau to the ocean floor. Aquaculture Debate: A new report criticizes “chickenification” trends in industrial aquaculture, arguing deregulation could worsen animal welfare and environmental harm.

Marianas Weather Watch: Tropical disturbance Invest 95W is organizing near the Marshall Islands, with forecasts now raising the chance of a typhoon and possible impacts across Guam and the Northern Marianas early next week—residents are urged to stay ready for heavy rain even as the exact track remains uncertain. Disaster Recovery: CNMI is moving from emergency response to rebuilding after Super Typhoon Sinlaku, with FEMA reporting more than $52 million in federal disaster assistance and loan offers committed as households apply and approvals continue. Deep-Sea Research: The Ocean Exploration Trust’s Nautilus is launching two back-to-back expeditions to map unsurveyed waters east of the Mariana Trench, building scientific baselines for habitat conservation and marine critical minerals around Guam and CNMI. Fisheries & Ocean Stewardship: New Zealand is boosting support for Pacific fisheries via the Forum Fisheries Agency to fight illegal fishing and improve long-term tuna sustainability, while local groups in CNMI are asking how the territory will benefit from fisheries funds and bigeye tuna allocation programs. Tourism & Culture: The Marianas Visitors Authority is pitching a new vision for the historic Japanese Lighthouse on Saipan as a visitor and cultural experience center, aiming to refresh tourism experiences. Community Health: A Guam oncologist has opened a new practice at Tumon Sands Plaza to expand access to cancer care for island residents.

Tropical Weather Watch: Forecasters are tracking Invest 95W, with models converging on a possible storm passing somewhere through the Marianas early next week, bringing heavy rain and possible typhoon conditions; residents across Guam and CNMI are urged to stay ready as the track and strength remain uncertain. Deep-Sea Science: The E/V Nautilus is launching back-to-back expeditions to map unsurveyed Mariana waters, building baselines for habitat conservation and marine critical minerals around Guam and the Northern Marianas. Fisheries & Tuna Sustainability: New Zealand announced increased funding for Pacific fisheries via the Forum Fisheries Agency, targeting illegal fishing and boosting higher-value tuna uses. Local Fisheries Governance: Refaluwasch is asking how CNMI will benefit from WCPFC22 and U.S. fisheries funds, including bigeye tuna allocation and conservation programs. Tourism Development: The Marianas Visitors Authority unveiled a concept to transform Saipan’s historic Japanese Lighthouse into a visitor and cultural experience center. Plastic Pollution Talks: Pacific voices are pushing for stronger action in global plastic pollution negotiations ahead of Nairobi talks.

Marianas Weather Watch: The National Weather Service is tracking Tropical disturbance Invest 95W in the Marshall Islands, now rated medium for development, with some models hinting at possible impacts to CNMI around July 6–7; officials stress uncertainty and urge residents to keep monitoring and prepare. CNMI Fisheries Voice: The Uraali Refaluwasch Association is asking the Western Pacific Regional Fishery Management Council for clarity on how CNMI benefits from Magnuson-Stevens programs and the territorial bigeye tuna allocation. Tuna Policy at WCPFC22: CNMI pushed for a South Pacific albacore management breakthrough at WCPFC22, arguing small island states can’t be sidelined in tuna decisions. Tourism & Heritage: The Marianas Visitors Authority unveiled a plan to turn Saipan’s historic Japanese Lighthouse site into a visitor and cultural experience center, aiming to refresh the next generation of tourism experiences. Regional Plastic Push: Pacific leaders are preparing for global plastic pollution talks in Nairobi, backing a legally binding treaty to curb marine waste. Pacific Security Deal: Australia and Vanuatu signed the Nakamal Agreement to block foreign military bases and keep critical infrastructure from militarization—part of wider Pacific security efforts.

Pacific Security & Diplomacy: Australia and Vanuatu signed the Nakamal Agreement, barring foreign military bases and keeping critical infrastructure free from militarization—aimed at limiting China’s security influence in the Pacific. Plastic Pollution Talks: Pacific leaders are pushing for stronger action in global plastic negotiations ahead of Nairobi, warning that millions of tonnes of plastic keep leaking into ocean ecosystems. Nuclear Waste Rights: Pacific civil groups condemned Japan’s plans to build facilities for releasing ALPS-treated radioactive wastewater into the Pacific, calling it a breach of the right to a clean, healthy, sustainable environment. Fisheries Sustainability: CNMI urged WCPFC22 delegates to adopt a management procedure for South Pacific albacore, saying SIDS can’t be sidelined in tuna decisions. Climate Adaptation Funding: The Pacific Resilience Facility held its inaugural council meeting, with Forum SG Baron Waqa stressing it must deliver practical, community-level results. Marianas Weather & Storm Risk: Tropical Storm Higos updates reported conditions near Tinian and Saipan, with advisories and monitoring continuing for the Marianas. CNMI Court Case: The wife of MV Mariana captain Frederick L. Nosek Jr. filed a petition seeking a presumption of death and appointment as administratrix for the captain and other missing crew after Super Typhoon Sinlaku.

Climate Adaptation Tools: The University of Hawaiʻi’s Hawaiʻi Climate Data Portal is rolling out free, personalized monthly climate summaries starting July 1, translating local rainfall, temperature, and drought conditions into plain-language updates for neighborhoods and coastlines. Marianas Range Exercise: U.S. Pacific Command joint forces and allies carried out a live-fire sinking exercise during Valiant Shield 2026, with the target vessel USS Juneau cleaned of hazardous materials and operations conducted under environmental and marine-protection rules. CNMI Military Buildup Scrutiny: A reconvened Guam briefing on military buildup drew sparse attendance but raised concerns that Guam is being repositioned for conflict without civilian shelters or a seat in decision-making. Uncrewed Airpower in the Marianas: Boeing’s MQ-28 Ghost Bat is set to fly alongside allied fighters in Valiant Shield 2026, testing human-machine teaming and counter-air missions over the Northern Mariana Islands area. Water Safety Funding: The U.S. EPA announced over $25 million in grants to improve drinking water systems in small and rural communities, including steps to reduce PFAS and lead exposure. Tropical Weather Watch: Forecasters are monitoring tropical disturbance activity near the Marianas, with conditions expected to shift as systems move through the region.

Mariana Range SINKEX: U.S. Pacific Command joint forces carried out a live-fire sinking exercise during Valiant Shield 2026, targeting the decommissioned USS Juneau off the Mariana Islands Range Complex, with crews saying the drills sharpen real-world weapons coordination while citing compliance with major environmental laws and cleanup steps. Tropical Weather Watch: Forecasters are monitoring a tropical disturbance as Guam and the region see heavy showers and gusty winds, with flood advisories and improving conditions expected after the trough clears. CNMI/Guam Military Buildup Debate: A Guam informational briefing drew residents and preservation advocates who argued the territory is being repositioned for a China-focused conflict without adequate civilian input or shelter planning. Uncrewed Airpower in CNMI: The MQ-28 Ghost Bat is set to fly alongside allied fighters in Valiant Shield 2026, testing human-machine teaming and counter-air missions in contested Indo-Pacific airspace. Pacific Fuel Crisis & Resilience: Pacific economic ministers in Majuro stressed energy-use cuts and preparedness as the fuel shock hits household budgets, while the Marshall Islands chairs a new Pacific Resilience Facility for climate adaptation and disaster readiness. El Niño Food Strain: In the Solomons, prolonged dry weather tied to El Niño is shrinking harvests, including slippery cabbage, pushing smaller bundles and higher pressure on markets.